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"It is an estimate," al-Shemari said.
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from reading the article it really sounds more like he guessed.
as far as one faction or another threatening to pull out of the government, i woudl take that with a grain of salt. the factions invovled all know that their best interests will remain in being invovled in the governmental process.
that article also seems to point towards some attempt by teh US to create equality among the factions
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He also has balked at U.S. demands for passage of a series of laws that would favor minority Sunnis, a group that makes up the bulk of the insurgency that has been fighting U.S. forces
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you can drop out all the who killed who crap that is attached to each side, these people have been at war with each other for 400 years, i am sure both sides have killed enough of the other to make a glorious sounding number by now.